36 exam-style questions on Probability concepts; complementary events; expected occurrences — topic 4.5 of Statistics and Probability in the IB Mathematics: Analysis and Approaches syllabus — with answers and explanations. Samples below; the full set is free with an account.
A bag contains 5 red, 3 blue and 4 green counters. One counter is taken at random. Determine the probability that it is not green.
Answer: 2/3
P(green) = 4/12 = 1/3, so by the complement rule P(not green) = 1 − 1/3 = 2/3.
The probability that a train arrives late is 0.35. State the probability that the train does not arrive late.
Answer: 0.65
Complementary events satisfy P(A') = 1 − P(A) = 1 − 0.35 = 0.65.
A spinner has 8 equal sectors numbered 1 to 8. It is spun 200 times. Calculate the expected number of spins that land on a multiple of 3.
Answer: 50
Multiples of 3 on the spinner are 3 and 6, so p = 2/8 = 1/4; expected occurrences = np = 200 × 1/4 = 50.
Two fair coins are tossed together. Determine the probability of obtaining at least one head.
Answer: 3/4
Use the complement: P(at least one head) = 1 − P(no heads) = 1 − 1/4 = 3/4.
A biased die is rolled 500 times and shows a six on 80 of the rolls. State the best estimate of the probability of rolling a six with this die.
Answer: 0.16
The relative frequency 80/500 = 0.16 is the best experimental estimate; 1/6 would only apply to a fair die.
Two fair six-sided dice are rolled and the scores are added. Determine the probability that the total is 7.
Answer: 1/6
The sample space has 36 equally likely outcomes and 6 of them sum to 7, so the probability is 6/36 = 1/6.
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