36 exam-style questions on Correlation; Pearson's r; regression y on x — topic 4.4 of Statistics and Probability in the IB Mathematics: Analysis and Approaches syllabus — with answers and explanations. Samples below; the full set is free with an account.
For a bivariate data set, Pearson's correlation coefficient is r = -0.92. Which description of the relationship between the variables is correct?
Answer: Strong negative linear correlation
The sign of r gives the direction (negative) and |r| close to 1 indicates a strong linear relationship, so r = -0.92 is a strong negative linear correlation.
The regression line of exam score y on hours studied x is y = 3.2x + 5.1. What is the correct interpretation of the value 3.2?
Answer: On average, the score rises 3.2 points per extra hour studied
The gradient of the regression line gives the average change in y per unit increase in x; the intercept 5.1 is the predicted score at x = 0.
Which of the following is NOT a possible value of Pearson's correlation coefficient r?
Answer: 1.2
Pearson's r always satisfies -1 ≤ r ≤ 1, so a value of 1.2 is impossible.
Which point must always lie on the regression line of y on x?
Answer: (x̄, ȳ)
By construction, the least-squares regression line of y on x passes through the mean point (x̄, ȳ). This fact is often used to find the equation of the line.
A study finds a strong positive correlation between daily ice cream sales and the number of swimming accidents in a city. Which conclusion is most justified?
Answer: A third variable (hot weather) may explain it
Correlation does not imply causation: a confounding variable (temperature) can drive both quantities, producing the observed association.
The regression line of y on x is y = 2.5x - 4. Calculate the predicted value of y when x = 8.
Answer: 16
Substituting x = 8 gives y = 2.5 × 8 - 4 = 20 - 4 = 16. A common error is adding 4 instead of subtracting.
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